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#F1 : Pirelli Compounds Chart vs Winners – Final Results

by on November 27, 2012

As I mentioned previously, those of you that have been following this blog have seen the chart below before.  My experiment has proven to hold true.  According to the chart, I expected either an Alonso win or a Vettel non-win.  With Button claiming victory, the final result proved the chart was fairly accurate.  I don’t put too much into it though, it really could have gone either way.  The circuits, conditions, temperatures and cars all change and evolve over the season, therefore, it’s difficult to give the chart much credit.   Here is the theory behind the chart and the results thus far.

The trend has been that Vettel has yet to win with a Hard/Medium combination.  Alonso has never won with a Hard/Soft combination.  Given the above observation and Pirelli’s selection for the final four races, Vettel may hold the advantage in one race, while Alonso may hold it in three races.  ONLY in terms of this season’s historical success rate on the compound combination.  This doesn’t take into account circuit, weather or any other critical factor.

In the end, Red Bull seemed to figure out best how to switch on the Pirelli tyres and get the most of them.  The key to F1 has been two fold, aerodynamics and understanding how to best exploit the Pirelli compounds.

Here is the final chart for 2012.  I will continue this chart in 2013 for those of you interested.

Grand Prix Pirelli Compounds Winner
Australia (Melbourne) medium soft Button
Malaysia (Sepang) hard medium Alonso
China (Shanghai) medium soft Rosberg
Bahrain (Sakhir) medium soft Vettel
Spain (Catalunya) hard soft Maldonado
Monaco (Monte Carlo) soft super-soft Webber
Canada (Montreal) soft super-soft Hamilton
Europe (Valencia) medium soft Alonso
Great Britain (Silverstone) hard soft Webber
Germany (Hockenheim) medium soft Alonso
Hungary (Budapest) medium soft Hamilton
Belgium (Spa-Francorchamps) hard medium Button
Italy (Monza) hard medium Hamilton
Singapore (Singapore) soft super-soft Vettel
Japan (Suzuka) hard soft Vettel
Korea (Yeongam) soft super-soft Vettel
India (New Delhi) hard soft  Vettel
Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) medium soft  Raikonnen
United States (Austin) hard medium Hamilton
Brazil (Interlagos) hard medium Button

Author: Ernie Black
Twitter: @TheF1Poet
Blog: http://thef1poet.wordpress.com

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